Ellas Syrosvs
Niki Volos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/11/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ellas Syros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ellas Syros 0-1 Niki Volos
Original prediction
Ellas Syros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 29.8% | 47.8% | 18.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.90 | 31.5% | 27.2% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 2.37 | 38.6% | 25.0% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
18.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
Ellas Syros
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Ellas Syros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60