Ellas Syrosvs
Apollon Pontou
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/7/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ellas Syros · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 1-1 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ellas Syros 2-2 Apollon Pontou
Original prediction
Ellas Syros
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 50.0% | 40.1% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.1% | 30.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.9% | 29.7% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.1–115%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Ellas Syros
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Ellas Syros has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 1 · GA 3 · avg 0.50/1.50