Čelikvs
Radnik Bijeljina
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Čelik · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Čelik 3-2 Radnik Bijeljina
Original prediction
Čelik
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 44.0% | 47.7% | 3.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.02 | 29.8% | 26.4% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.44 | 26.2% | 25.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Čelik
Probability
47.7%
Model confidence
47.7%
Čelik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ČelikLDWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Radnik BijeljinaLDDLL
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ČelikRadnik Bijeljina
38.9Attack33.3
50.0Defence33.3
22.2Form16.7
37.9Power30.5
1.60xG1.00