Čelikvs
FK Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/11/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Čelik 0-0 FK Sarajevo, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Čelik 0-0 FK Sarajevo
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.7% | 32.2% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 28.8% | 31.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.98 | 45.5% | 36.6% | -8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.11 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Čelik 0–0 FK Sarajevo
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.1%
Model confidence
36.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ČelikDWLDW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FK SarajevoWWLLW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
ČelikFK Sarajevo
45.8Attack25.0
50.0Defence79.2
33.3Form54.2
44.4Power55.2
0.84xG0.83