GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/5/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Stranraer are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 56.0-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the League Two, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elgin City

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
StranraerLWLLW

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Elgin CityStranraer
100.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence33.3
66.7Form0.0
77.5Power21.5
2.12xG0.92
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