GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/1/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while St. Johnstone U21 have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Challenge Cup, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elgin City

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
St. Johnstone U21No completed matches

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
Elgin CitySt. Johnstone U21
33.3Attack0.0
33.3Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power15.3
1.97xG1.61
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