League CupLeague Cup
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Elgin City

Elgin City

Home
LL
13
Full time
Peterhead

Peterhead

Away
W
Borough Briggs
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Elgin City(40%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction missed— Result: Peterhead
Win probability
Elgin City
40%
Draw
35%
Peterhead
25%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Elgin City
34
Peterhead
94
Defence
Elgin City
6
Peterhead
66
Momentum
Elgin City
0
Peterhead
100
Danger (xG)
Elgin City
0.90
Peterhead
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Elgin City)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Peterhead)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Elgin City)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Peterhead)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Elgin CityElgin City
LL
PeterheadPeterhead
W

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Elgin City40%
Draw35%
Peterhead25%

Elgin City leads with 40% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Elgin City head into this in League Cup fixture at Borough Briggs in mixed form (LL), while Peterhead arrive in mixed form (W). Elgin City have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Peterhead over 1 games.

Tactically, Peterhead hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Elgin City defence (6/100), while Elgin City's attack faces a solid Peterhead backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Elgin City have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Peterhead have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Peterhead have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Elgin City to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Elgin City 3993%, Draw 3500%, Peterhead 2507%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Elgin City 0Draws 01 Peterhead
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Elgin City
L13
Peterhead

Recent form

Elgin City

Elgin City

L
vs Peterhead
14 Jul 2026
13
L
@ Raith Rovers
11 Jul 2026
13
Peterhead

Peterhead

W
@ Elgin City
14 Jul 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Elgin City vs Peterhead?

GoalVio's model predicts Elgin City to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Elgin City vs Peterhead?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Elgin City vs Peterhead?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Elgin City vs Peterhead?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more