GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Cup · 7/15/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Motherwell · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Motherwell are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Motherwell hold a 56.0-point power-rating edge (11.2 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.3% in the League Cup, while Motherwell holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Motherwell

Probability

56.3%

Model confidence

56.3%

Motherwell has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MotherwellLWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.75/1.00

BTTS 0/4O2.5 2/4
Elgin CityMotherwell
16.7Attack60.0
0.0Defence73.3
0.0Form66.7
11.2Power67.2
0.94xG2.29
View match centre →