Elgin Cityvs
Forfar Athletic
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Elgin City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Forfar Athletic are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20