Elgin Cityvs
Edinburgh City
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elgin City 0-0 Edinburgh City
Original prediction
Elgin City
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.0% | 56.5% | 9.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.9% | 18.1% | -6.8 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.1% | 25.4% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Elgin City
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00