GGOALVIO

Scotland · League Two · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Elgin City · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Elgin City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while East Fife are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Elgin City hold a 30.1-point power-rating edge (77.5 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the League Two, while Elgin City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Elgin City

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Elgin City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elgin CityLDDLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
East FifeLDDLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Elgin CityEast Fife
100.0Attack42.6
83.3Defence56.5
66.7Form40.7
77.5Power47.4
1.66xG0.95
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