Elgin Cityvs
Clyde
COMPLETEDScotland · League Two · 10/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Clyde · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elgin City 6-2 Clyde
Original prediction
Clyde
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 07:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 38.3% | 34.3% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 25.9% | 27.0% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.8% | 38.6% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Clyde
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
38.6%
Clyde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Elgin CityWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ClydeWLDWL
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Elgin CityClyde
79.2Attack79.2
41.7Defence58.3
45.8Form70.8
52.7Power70.0
1.93xG2.40