Elfsborg Wvs
Häcken II W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 8/28/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elfsborg W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elfsborg W 2-1 Häcken II W
Original prediction
Elfsborg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 82.3% | 81.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.59 | 12.0% | 11.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 15.90 | 5.7% | 6.9% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Elfsborg W
Probability
81.9%
Model confidence
81.9%
Elfsborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20