Elfsborg Wvs
Gamla Upsala W
COMPLETEDSweden · Elitettan · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elfsborg W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Elfsborg W 2-0 Gamla Upsala W, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Elfsborg W 2-0 Gamla Upsala W
Original prediction
Elfsborg W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.14 | 79.4% | 82.7% | 3.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.65 | 13.6% | 12.2% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 12.95 | 7.0% | 5.0% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.14 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Projected Score
Elfsborg W 2–0 Gamla Upsala W
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Elfsborg W
Probability
82.7%
Model confidence
82.7%
Elfsborg W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Elfsborg WWWDWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gamla Upsala WLLDWL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Elfsborg WGamla Upsala W
63.3Attack33.3
80.0Defence43.3
75.0Form23.3
72.7Power36.4
2.62xG0.47