GGOALVIO

Japan · WE League · 11/26/2023, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Elfen Saitama W are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Cerezo Osaka W are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.33 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Elfen Saitama W hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 40.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the WE League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Elfen Saitama WWLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Cerezo Osaka WLLW

GF 1 · GA 2 · avg 0.33/0.67

BTTS 0/3O2.5 0/3
Elfen Saitama WCerezo Osaka W
30.3Attack28.8
56.1Defence53.0
34.8Form31.8
42.8Power40.5
0.92xG0.69
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