Železničar Pančevovs
Radnik Surdulica
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Železničar Pančevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Železničar Pančevo 5-1 Radnik Surdulica
Original prediction
Železničar Pančevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.2% | 41.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.7% | 29.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.34 | 27.1% | 29.3% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.04 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Železničar Pančevo
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Železničar Pančevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80