GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 8/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Železničar Pančevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Železničar Pančevo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Mladost Lucani are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Železničar Pančevo hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Super Liga, while Železničar Pančevo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Železničar Pančevo

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Železničar Pančevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Železničar PančevoWDWLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mladost LucaniDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Železničar PančevoMladost Lucani
33.3Attack11.1
83.3Defence88.9
66.7Form33.3
64.8Power48.3
1.22xG0.90
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