Železničar Pančevovs
FK Partizan
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 10/18/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Železničar Pančevo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Železničar Pančevo 1-0 FK Partizan
Original prediction
Železničar Pančevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 19:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.23 | 40.8% | 61.1% | 20.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 19.4% | -7.1 pts |
| Away | 2.77 | 32.8% | 19.5% | -13.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Železničar Pančevo
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
Železničar Pančevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40