Železničar Pančevovs
Cukaricki
COMPLETEDSerbia · Super Liga · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Železničar Pančevo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Železničar Pančevo 2-1 Cukaricki
Original prediction
Železničar Pančevo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.6% | 58.4% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.4% | 22.4% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 4.11 | 22.0% | 19.2% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Železničar Pančevo
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
Železničar Pančevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60