Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mallorca · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Eldense 0-0 Mallorca
Original prediction
Mallorca
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 26.0% | 31.9% | 5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.6% | 29.6% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.01 | 46.4% | 38.5% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.37 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Mallorca
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Mallorca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
EldenseLDLLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MallorcaWLWDW
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
EldenseMallorca
36.5Attack50.0
55.6Defence50.0
39.7Form50.0
46.0Power50.0
1.06xG1.14