Elchevs
Racing Ferrol
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 8/12/2023, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Elche are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Racing Ferrol are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.2 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00