Elchevs
Celta Vigo
COMPLETEDSpain · La Liga · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Celta Vigo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elche 0-0 Celta Vigo
Original prediction
Celta Vigo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.83 | 33.5% | 28.6% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 29.4% | 26.0% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 37.1% | 45.4% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.23 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Celta Vigo
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
Celta Vigo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60