Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Barcelona · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elche 0-5 Barcelona
Original prediction
Barcelona
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Barcelona
Probability
54.0%
Model confidence
54.0%
Barcelona has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ElcheDDDDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BarcelonaWWLWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ElcheBarcelona
33.3Attack69.3
66.7Defence61.4
33.3Form74.6
45.3Power69.6
1.04xG1.86