Elazığsporvs
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 10/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elazığspor · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (14%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elazığspor 3-0 Arnavutköy Belediyespor
Original prediction
Elazığspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.10 | 83.1% | 78.3% | -4.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.38 | 12.3% | 13.4% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 20.08 | 4.5% | 8.4% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.10 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–014%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Elazığspor
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Elazığspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00