Elazığsporvs
Aliağa FAŞ
COMPLETEDTurkey · 2. Lig · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elazığspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elazığspor 5-0 Aliağa FAŞ
Original prediction
Elazığspor
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.55 | 58.1% | 44.1% | -14.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.5% | 26.2% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.91 | 18.4% | 29.7% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Elazığspor
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Elazığspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40