Elana Toruńvs
Luzino
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luzino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elana Toruń 3-1 Luzino
Original prediction
Luzino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.00 | 18.2% | 28.4% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.41 | 20.6% | 24.7% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 1.49 | 61.2% | 46.9% | -14.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Luzino
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Luzino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20