Elana Toruńvs
Kotwica Kórnik
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elana Toruń · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elana Toruń 3-1 Kotwica Kórnik
Original prediction
Elana Toruń
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 53.1% | 51.2% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.3% | 24.0% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.80 | 23.7% | 24.8% | 1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.70 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Elana Toruń
Probability
51.2%
Model confidence
51.2%
Elana Toruń has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60