Elana Toruńvs
Flota Świnoujście
COMPLETEDPoland · III Liga - Group 2 · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flota Świnoujście · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Elana Toruń 1-0 Flota Świnoujście
Original prediction
Flota Świnoujście
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.5% | 34.9% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.0% | 25.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.34 | 38.5% | 39.7% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Flota Świnoujście
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Flota Świnoujście has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40