El Seka El Hadidvs
Itesalat
COMPLETEDEgypt · Second League · 9/18/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Itesalat · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Seka El Hadid 1-0 Itesalat
Original prediction
Itesalat
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 29.7% | 28.2% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.69 | 33.6% | 29.8% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.7% | 42.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Itesalat
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Itesalat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40