El Salvador Wvs
Paraguay W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/10/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Salvador W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (10%), 2-0 (10%), 3-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Salvador W 1-5 Paraguay W
Original prediction
El Salvador W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 43.3% | 49.7% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.0% | 25.2% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 30.7% | 25.1% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–010%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.3–19%
Predicted outcome
El Salvador W
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
El Salvador W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60