El Salvador Wvs
Paraguay W
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Women · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Salvador W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Salvador W 2-3 Paraguay W
Original prediction
El Salvador W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 September 2026 at 12:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.7% | 44.1% | 14.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.8% | 25.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.91 | 47.5% | 30.8% | -16.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
El Salvador W
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
El Salvador W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80