El Porvenirvs
Yupanqui
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Yupanqui are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Yupanqui hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.4% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
29.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40