El Porvenirvs
Sportivo Barracas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 3/30/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Sportivo Barracas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Barracas hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.9% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
29.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60