El Porvenirvs
Lujan
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/11/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lujan are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Lujan hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
31.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60