El Porvenirvs
Deportivo Español
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/21/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Porvenir 0-0 Deportivo Español, with an exact score probability of 45%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Porvenir 0-2 Deportivo Español
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 32.7% | 28.1% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.57 | 34.6% | 42.5% | 7.9 pts |
| Away | 2.72 | 32.8% | 29.4% | -3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Projected Score
El Porvenir 0–0 Deportivo Español
Exact score probability: 45%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El PorvenirWLWDW
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo EspañolDWWDD
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
El PorvenirDeportivo Español
27.4Attack25.0
70.2Defence82.1
42.9Form50.0
49.5Power55.3
0.40xG0.42