El Porvenirvs
Claypole
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/29/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Porvenir 0-0 Claypole, with an exact score probability of 38%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Porvenir 4-2 Claypole
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 36.6% | 39.7% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.66 | 33.8% | 38.8% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 3.02 | 29.7% | 21.5% | -8.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
El Porvenir 0–0 Claypole
Exact score probability: 38%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El PorvenirDWLDL
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
ClaypoleDWLLL
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
El PorvenirClaypole
24.0Attack22.7
72.0Defence60.0
40.0Form34.7
48.2Power41.8
0.63xG0.35