El Porvenirvs
Central Ballester
SCHEDULEDArgentina · Primera C · 8/22/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Central Ballester are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and el Porvenir hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 44.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera C, favouring a draw with 33.9% confidence, a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
33.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20