El Porvenirvs
Canuelas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 10/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Canuelas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: El Porvenir 0-0 Canuelas, with an exact score probability of 31%.
Prediction record
Final result
El Porvenir 1-1 Canuelas
Original prediction
Canuelas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.35 | 26.8% | 21.1% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.72 | 32.9% | 35.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 40.4% | 43.9% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Projected Score
El Porvenir 0–0 Canuelas
Exact score probability: 31%
Predicted outcome
Canuelas
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Canuelas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
El PorvenirLLWLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CanuelasWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
El PorvenirCanuelas
27.8Attack42.2
66.7Defence76.7
40.0Form63.3
47.5Power62.9
0.40xG0.81