El Porvenirvs
Atletico Atlas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 6/13/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
El Porvenir are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Atletico Atlas are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Atlas hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 15% BTTS chance and 7% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
39.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20