El Paso Locomotivevs
San Antonio
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/19/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while San Antonio are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40