El Paso Locomotivevs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/12/2023, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sacramento Republic · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Sacramento Republic are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sacramento Republic hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the USL Championship, while Sacramento Republic holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sacramento Republic
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Sacramento Republic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60