El Paso Locomotivevs
Sacramento Republic
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 Sacramento Republic
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.59 | 35.1% | 38.0% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 27.5% | 27.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.4% | 34.9% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20