GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

El Paso Locomotive · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

El Paso Locomotive are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Pittsburgh Riverhounds are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 51.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

El Paso Locomotive

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

14.7%

El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

El Paso LocomotiveWWLWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsDWLLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
El Paso LocomotivePittsburgh Riverhounds
50.9Attack35.1
52.6Defence64.9
49.1Form47.4
52.0Power51.2
1.15xG0.91
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