El Paso Locomotivevs
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/27/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 2-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 42.2% | 42.5% | 0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.6% | 28.4% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 28.2% | 29.1% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–014%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40