El Paso Locomotivevs
Phoenix Rising
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 6/14/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Phoenix Rising are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 46.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00