El Paso Locomotivevs
Orange County SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 2-1 Orange County SC
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.57 | 58.0% | 53.4% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.07 | 22.4% | 24.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.68 | 19.5% | 22.6% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.57 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20