El Paso Locomotivevs
New Mexico United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 0-1 New Mexico United
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.72 | 53.0% | 42.0% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 24.1% | 27.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.9% | 30.5% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40