El Paso Locomotivevs
Loudoun United
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 4-1 Loudoun United
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 54.9% | 61.1% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.3% | 21.7% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.18 | 21.8% | 17.2% | -4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
61.1%
Model confidence
61.1%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20