El Paso Locomotivevs
Loudoun United
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL Championship · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Loudoun United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 0 passed 2.5 goals, and El Paso Locomotive hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
56.9%
Model confidence
11.8%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40