El Paso Locomotivevs
Las Vegas Lights
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Las Vegas Lights are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.0 against 50.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the USL Championship, while El Paso Locomotive holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60