El Paso Locomotivevs
FC Tulsa
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
El Paso Locomotive · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
El Paso Locomotive 1-1 FC Tulsa
Original prediction
El Paso Locomotive
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.87 | 48.6% | 42.6% | -6.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.1% | 28.7% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.3% | 28.7% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
El Paso Locomotive
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
El Paso Locomotive has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00