El Paso Locomotivevs
Detroit City
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 3/19/2023, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
El Paso Locomotive are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Detroit City are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (52.0 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Detroit City
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/1.75